OCTOBER 14, 2017
We are back this week with "Wave That Pick." Last week was looking good when Navy was rolling Air Force... before the Mids gave up 21 points in the 4th quarter, though they closed out a 48-45 win in the end. We'll get back after it this week.
Last week, we went 2-2. Recap:
Winners: Tulane -4.5 vs. Tulsa, UCF -17 @ Cincy
Losers: Navy -7.5 vs. Air Force, SMU +6.5 vs. Houston
2017 RECORD: 9-6 (60%)
1. Tulane @ FIU +13.5 | TULANE
This is going to be my pick of the century of the week. But seriously, I don't think the national crowd is on board with this team being able to put up numbers on offense, but they sure looked the part last week.
FIU's 3-2 record looks good, but their two FBS wins literally came against the #126 and #130 teams in College Football by a combined 7 points. Admittedly, their run defense looks good on paper (Bill Connelly ranks the Golden Panthers as #34 against the run), but they haven't faced an option team. I think the Green Wave rolls again.
2. Houston @ Tulsa +13.5 | HOUSTON
I saw enough of the Golden Hurricane last week. Houston seems to have settled their QB battle, and Tulsa will see even more pressure on offense when facing the Coogs' DL. Houston will take care of business on the road.
3. UConn @ Temple -10 | TEMPLE
As bad as Temple's offense had looked, it's pretty shocking to see the Owls as a double digit favorite against an FBS team. Yet here we are. You go UConn.
The Owls' offense isn't good, but they have done well defensively (held ECU and Houston to 10 points and 20 points respectively). UConn doesn't show up on defense, and Temple should be able to separate.
4. Navy @ Memphis -3.5 | NAVY
This is just a good game. I wanted to pick four, and I don't want to touch the two beatdowns involving Florida schools. So let's try this one. Memphis has depth issues from a variety of injuries, and that's a tough thing to deal with against a Mids' offense who will predictably control the ball for 40 minutes. Even if Riley Ferguson continues to get it done through the air, Navy will limit possessions enough to win a close one, I think.